Health experts are encouraging Ontarians to keep up the good work, as our social distancing measures are paying dividends.

"That has actually accelerated our peak to now," said Dr. Steiny Brown, the Dean of Public Health at the University of Toronto, during yesterday's media briefing.

An earlier model released in early April suggested the province might see 300,000 cases in a worst-case scenario, or as few as 20,000 in a best-case scenario. With the exception of long-term care homes, Brown says the province is seeing numbers that are more in line with a best-case scenario, which he attributed to the hard work and sacrifice of Ontarians.

Still, as of yesterday, there were 127 of about 600 long-term care homes with at least one case of COVID-19. The fatalities associated with residents of these facilities also accounted for half of the provincial total, Brown noted. By yesterday, there had been just under 600 deaths attributed to the coronavirus.

However, Brown emphasizes this doesn't mean the virus has disappeared, and it will likely be several weeks yet, before it has passed.

Joining him at the briefing was Dr. Barbara Yaffe, who is the associate chief medical officer of health for Ontario, and she emphasizes it's not time yet to give up.

"Everyone needs to continue to stay home, as much as possible, maintain physical distancing, to ensure that the province continues to stop the spread of COVID-19 and flatten the curve. These actions are making a big difference, and you need to stay the course -- and stay strong -- to save lives," she said. 

Public health experts in Toronto say the coronavirus outbreak may have peaked earlier than expected -- and there may be fewer cases and deaths as a result -- but they also want to avoid another wave of infections.

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